An exclusive content analysis reveals how US fashion companies’ sourcing strategies have evolved in response to rising geopolitical tensions and economic slowdowns as well as the emerging sourcing trends worth watching in 2024.
The sourcing
environment facing US fashion companies has significantly shifted over the past
few years, from Covid-related supply chain disruptions, hiking inflation and
economic slowdown, to rising geopolitical tensions.
A content analysis of the
annual reports of 30 of the largest US fashion brands and retailers from 2018
to 2023 aims to identify these companies’ most critical evolving sourcing
practices, including their sourcing destination adjustment, primary sourcing
factors, and emerging sourcing-related “hot topics.”
The findings provide critical
market intelligence, informing US fashion companies about their peers’ emerging
sourcing trends and popular practices. The results can also help policymakers
understand what’s behind the macro trade statistics and develop appropriate
policies supporting fashion companies’ global operation and business growth in
2024.
First, maintaining a
relatively diverse sourcing base remains common among US fashion companies. Results show that large-size
companies today typically source from more than 20 countries. For example,
company number four, a leading US sportswear brand, says: “As of 31 May 2023,
our contract manufacturers operated 291 finished goods apparel factories
located in 31 countries.” Likewise, company number six
disclosed that its “products
were primarily obtained from approximately 340 independent contractor manufacturing
facilities in approximately 35 countries.” Company number nine, a well-known
specialty chain brand, says its
“vendors have factories in about 25 countries.”
One critical factor
behind fashion companies’ sourcing diversification strategies is that no single
supplying country is “perfect,” given the increasingly complex sourcing
factors. For
example, according to the 2023 Fashion Industry Benchmarking Study released by
the US Fashion Industry Association this summer (2023), while fashion companies
rated many Asian supplying countries as competitive regarding costs and
flexibility, there were common concerns about social and environmental
compliance risks associated with sourcing from the region. In comparison, in
general, sourcing from Western Hemisphere countries could offer US fashion
companies the benefits of speed to market. However, the relatively high
production costs and lack of production capacity often make it challenging to
place large-volume sourcing orders or source items beyond basic apparel
categories from the region.
Instead, sourcing
diversification allows fashion companies to balance various sourcing factors. For example, according to company
number 19, a prominent US fashion company with a diverse portfolio of brands,
“the (sourcing diversification) approach provides us with the greatest
flexibility in identifying the appropriate manufacturers while considering
quality, cost, timing of product delivery and other criteria.”
Another critical
factor motivating fashion companies to diversify their sourcing base is the
need to mitigate the increasing risks in the supply chain. For example, over the past few years,
many US fashion companies have experienced supply chain disruptions caused by
unpredictable incidents resulting from Covid-related lockdowns and geopolitical
tensions to new trade regulations. Thus, sourcing diversification enables
companies to adapt quickly to market uncertainties and enjoy supply chain
flexibility and resilience. According to company number 11, a well-known brand
focusing on underwear products its “balanced approach to product supply, which
relies on a combination of owned, contracted and sourced manufacturing located
across different geographic regions, increases the efficiency
of our operations, reduces product costs, diversifies risk and
offers customers a reliable source of supply.”
Second, while US
fashion companies are not necessarily leaving any particular countries they
source from, many have substantially reduced the number of vendors they work
with over the past few years. Specifically, out of the 30 fashion companies the study
examined, over 60% explicitly mentioned they consolidated
their sourcing base at the vendor level from 2017/2018 to 2022/2023,
although the degree varied. For example:
Associated with the trend of
“country diversification and vendor consolidation,” US fashion companies are
increasingly interested in working with “super vendors,” e.g.,
those with multiple country presence or vertical manufacturing capability. The
use of “super vendor” can also be observed in fashion companies’ willingness to
give more sourcing orders to their top suppliers. For example,
company number 18, a casual and outdoor wear retailer, reduced its vendors from
200 in 2017/2018 to 110 in 2022/2023, but increased the cap of sourcing
orders for its top 10 vendors from 40% to 47% over the same period.
Similarly, company number 9, a specialty clothing chain, allowed its largest
vendor to supply around 8% of total products in 2022, up from 5% in 2017/2018.
Overall, working with “super vendors” allows US fashion companies to strengthen
their relationship with key vendors without losing the benefits of sourcing
flexibility, agility, and maintaining a geographically diverse sourcing
base.
In line with official trade
statistics, US fashion companies’ apparel sourcing base has shifted
substantially over the past few years in response to the evolving business and
regulatory environment. Specifically:
On the one hand, many
US fashion companies have intentionally reduced their apparel sourcing from
China, given the
US-China tariff war, deteriorating bilateral relations, and the forced labour
concerns with China’s Xinjiang region (XUAR). Specifically, more than
one-third of the 30 examined companies explicitly mentioned their strategy to
reduce finished garments sourcing from China. For example:
Furthermore, several
US fashion companies indicated their “reducing China exposure” strategy would
continue,
implying China’s market share in the US apparel import market could decrease
further. For example, company number 17, which owns a broad portfolio of
licensed brands, says, “…to maximise regional opportunities and mitigate our
potential exposure to risks associated with new duties, tariffs, surcharges, or
other import controls or restrictions, as it has been the case with China,
where we have been reducing the amount of production over time in
favour of production in other parts of Asia that better serve our sourcing
strategy.” Company number 19 adds, “We expect that the percentage of our
products sourced from producers located in China will decrease in the future.”
Nevertheless, even though
fewer finished garments are coming from China, US fashion companies
admit that China will continue to play a critical role as a textile raw
material supplier as no immediate practical alternative is available.
For example:
In other words, because
textile manufacturing relies heavily on capital and technology, building
textile production capacity outside China will be considerably longer and more
challenging than finished garments.
On the other hand, in
line with trade statistics, US fashion companies consider other Asian
suppliers, such as Vietnam, Bangladesh, Cambodia, and Indonesia, as their top
choices as China’s alternatives. For example, company number 4, a leading sportswear brand,
substantially increased its apparel sourcing from Vietnam from
16% in 2017/2018 to 29% in 2023. Likewise,
company number 9, a well-known specialty clothing store, did not source much
from Vietnam and Indonesia, but it placed 30%
and 17% of its sourcing orders with the two countries in 2022,
respectively. In comparison, few fashion companies explicitly mentioned moving
their sourcing orders from China to Western Hemisphere countries or other
regions.
Furthermore, considering Asian
countries’ demonstrated competitiveness in production costs, efficiency, and
flexibility supported by the region’s highly integrated supply chain and
unparalleled production capacity, it is unlikely that US fashion
companies will significantly reduce their sourcing from Asia, at least in the
short to medium terms.
Fashion companies’ annual
reports also repeatedly mention several themes concerning their evaluation of
the overall sourcing environment that deserve our attention.
Geopolitics
Geopolitics generally refers
to “geography, economics, and demography on the politics and especially the
foreign policy of a state.” Specifically, US-China relations,
nearshoring from the Western Hemisphere, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict are
on the radars of many US fashion companies.
First, as previously
highlighted, the deteriorating US-China relations, escalated trade tensions
expanded from tariffs to forced labour, and the potential trade disruptions
have concerned US fashion companies significantly. Multiple brands have expressed their
worries. For example:
Notably, US fashion
companies regard sourcing from China as increasingly risky, with the
implementation of the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) in June 2022. Generally, UFLPA prohibits importing
any textile and apparel into the US that was “manufactured wholly or in part
with forced labour in the People’s Republic of China, especially from the
Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR).” As Company number 1
says, “There is nonetheless a risk, given the presence of XUAR origin
cotton in global supply chains, that our business could be affected by
these restrictions.” Company number 2 adds, “The Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention
Act and other similar legislation may lead to greater supply chain
compliance costs and delays to us and to our vendors.” Company number
14 reiterates, “Trade regulations issued by the US government related to forced
labour in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region of China and other regions may
affect our sourcing operations and the availability of raw materials.”
However, as a subtle change,
US fashion companies appear to be less “enthusiastically” advocating for
removing the Section 301 punitive tariffs on imports from China. This shift
could be because of the forced labour concern tied to apparel “Made in China”
or the substantially reduced trade volume.
Second, due to the
decoupling and derisking from the China movement, US fashion companies have
begun actively exploring nearshoring sourcing opportunities in the Western
Hemisphere, particularly from members of the Dominican Republic-Central America
Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR). For example, Company number 1, the North American manufacturer,
disclosed that “(our) company relies on a
number of preferential trade programmes (…) including the Dominican Republic –
Central America – United States Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR (…)
Collectively, these agreements strengthen US economic relations and expand
trade with Central America, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti.” Company
number 10, an American multinational off-price department store corporation,
also says, “contracting in the Western
Hemisphere gives us greater flexibility, shorter lead times and allows for
lower inventory levels for the US market.”
Consistent with companies’
evaluation, the US Fashion Industry Association’s 2023 Fashion Industry
Benchmarking study also found that “Over 80% of respondents
report sourcing apparel from CAFTA-DR members in 2023, a notable increase from
60% in the past few years.”
Third, some US fashion
brands have also voiced concerns and challenges associated with their Vietnam
sourcing, often caused by Vietnam’s heavy reliance on China for textile raw
materials. For
example, company number 26 notes, “during the pandemic, (our) company increased its air freight usage in
response to inventory delays imposed by temporary factory closures in Vietnam.”
Company number 15, a global outdoor and active lifestyle brand, echoes, “Our exposure to these risks is heightened in Vietnam,
where a significant portion of our contract manufacturing is located.”
Relatedly, a Hinrich
Foundation study in July 2023 raised a red flag about apparel “Made in Vietnam”
being exposed to Xinjiang cotton. According to the study, China
accounted for nearly 30% of Vietnam’s cotton imports in 2021, and
differentiating between Xinjiang cotton and those imported from other regions
proved incredibly difficult.
Additionally, several
US fashion companies regard the Ukraine-Russia war as another major geopolitical factor that may
affect their global business. For example,
Sustainability and
social responsibility
With consumers and society’s
growing awareness of apparel production and consumption’s environmental and
social impacts, sustainability and social responsibility have become critical
components of fashion companies’ sourcing strategies.
It is noteworthy that aside
from climate change and forced labour, which
are typically addressed as risk factors, US fashion companies
generally hold an optimistic and forward-looking perspective for
sustainability, such as new technologies and endeavours toward more
sustainable production and sourcing. Specifically:
First, US fashion
companies increasingly regard forced labour in the supply chain as a
significant sourcing risk, even without specific references to the UFLPA and
China. For
example:
Second, US fashion
companies increasingly emphasise climate change as a significant risk factor. Notably, among the 30 brands this
study assessed, 25 (approximately 83%) explicitly reference
climate change as a threat to their supply chain stability and may incur higher
sourcing costs. For example:
On the other hand, US fashion
companies began to more proactively take actions to respond to consumers’
growing calls for sustainable apparel production and sourcing. Terms such as
using preferred or recycled materials, supply chain transparency and
traceability, and emerging sustainability technologies
have been more frequently mentioned in companies’ annual or ESG reports. For
example:
The 2023 USFIA Fashion
Industry Benchmarking Study also found that
nearly 60% of surveyed US fashion companies say at least 10%
of their sourced apparel products already use recycled or other sustainable
textile materials, with another 60% of surveyed
companies planning to substantially increase sourcing apparel made from
sustainable or recycled textile materials of the next five years.
Meanwhile, US fashion
companies attach great importance to improving supply chain
transparency and traceability. Compared to the past, fashion companies
are more willing to invest in new technologies and digital tools, allowing them
to map supply chains and achieve sustainability goals more effectively. For
example:
US fashion companies have
actively engaged with industry associations and other industry communities
outside the company to stay informed about sustainability trends and learn best
practices. For example:
In conclusion, US fashion
companies’ sourcing strategies will likely continue to evolve in 2024 and
beyond. However, critical trends identified in this study, such as reducing
China exposure, mitigating sourcing risks through diversification, strengthening
the relationship between vendors, addressing forced labour and geopolitical
risks, and building a more sustainable and transparent supply chain, will be
worth keeping an eye on.
By Just Style