Every apparel business is being impacted by high
interest rates and to make matters worse, since these higher rates have
followed decades of low ones many fashion brands and companies are finding
themselves without a playbook to navigate this ongoing challenge, writes
apparel industry expert Roit Kathiala.
Apparel businesses like any other business have loans that are either coming due, need to be taken or have existing loans that need to be serviced with interest payments all at the current extremely onerous interest rate environment, a challenge that could come as a “cold shock” after decades of record low interest rates. So the golden path is to respond to this challenge and still retain a laser focus on revenues, brand relevance and crucial capital investments and hopefully without losing much talent.
These rates and profitability challenges due
to interest rates may sound daunting for apparel businesses however, I believe
that every adversity, every challenge, every obstacle comes with a hidden
opportunity of a great opportunity and all it takes is a little shift of
perspective and to see that opportunity amid the fog of the problem and we find
sooner or later and quoting Ryan Haliday: “what stands in the way, becomes the
way.”
Let’s explore this together and see if there
really can be an underlying opportunity in the apparel industry’s seemingly
tight high interest rate environment.
The long-standing apparel industry playbook
in situations of high interest rates has relied heavily on cost cutting which
leans excessively on a few areas which are comparatively easy to execute but
may or may not always be optimal choices. The cuts usually focus on marketing
spend, capital investments, talent and headcount cuts which are usually easy to
execute, however can have some long-term consequences.
So let’s look closely at these areas:
Marketing spend pull backs usually take away from maintaining brand relevance
and growth in an increasingly competitive industry at a crucial time with both
technology and increase of celebrity-owned brands have shifted their priority
to have their own fashion and lifestyle business versus endorse and promote
other businesses so it is crucial to maintain marketing relevance even during
these times.
Capital investment reductions take away from
building key capabilities needed to be efficient and build crucial capabilities
and last but not least is talent.
Any manager who has been hiring recently
knows replacing good talent is indeed a herculean task especially in the
current competitive landscape amid shifting priorities and a general ageing
workforce in most of the developed world.
Is there a better way? If so, what can it
be? It is something that helps companies navigate the high interest rates
environment and still keeps the engines going for long term growth.
The solution lies in a more proactive and
strategic approach and looks closer at other less prioritised opportunity
areas.
Supply chain optimisation:
Cost of goods together with shipping,
transportation, warehousing, and distribution together account by far for the
largest cost on any retailer’s balance sheet. However, in times when cost
reduction is needed most apparel companies rarely attempt or are completely
successful in making a meaningful reduction here.
Diversify revenue streams:
Diversifying the mix of revenue streams
between stores, ecommerce, wholesale, and licensing can release cash flow to
the business. For example in most scenarios costs for an online sale has a
higher variable percentage as compared to one on a brick-and-mortar store which
means the cost is incurred only if there is a corresponding revenue being
booked.
Strengthen your financial position:
A lean balance sheet can sometimes be a
double-edged sword. While it may minimise debt exposure, it can also limit
financial flexibility. Apparel companies should focus on strengthening their
financial position by building up some cash reserves.
Debt versus equity – use equity:
As more and more fashion companies go public
or bring in equity investors, equity has become a powerful tool to bring in
some cash to pay down high interest loans and build liquidity. Some successful
companies such as ecommerce giant Amazon have gone even further by sharing
equity with their employees as a form of compensation and participation in the
company’s success and are able to attract and retain top talent without the
excess use of cash pay outs of salary or bonuses and get a more “owner’s mindset”
in the company that improves morale, retention, and productivity while reducing
committed cash payouts.
Optimise inventory management:
Excess inventory ties up valuable capital
and incurs carrying costs, which can become burdensome in a high-interest rate
environment, plus high interest rates bring uncertainty of demand in play. A
robust inventory management process optimises stock levels, minimises excess
inventory, improves inventory turnover and helps minimise “style obsolescence”
as purchase decisions are made closer to the customer purchase time. This will
free up cash flow and reduce the need for financing at unfavourable interest rates.
Negotiate favourable financing terms:
Companies can mitigate need for debt by
renegotiating terms with lenders or exploring alternative financing options
such as asset-based lending, invoice factoring, or peer-to-peer lending
platforms. By shopping around and leveraging relationships with financial
institutions, companies can potentially secure lower interest rates or more
favourable repayment terms.
Adapt to changing consumer behaviour:
Consumer behaviour undergoes significant
shifts during periods of economic uncertainty and high-interest rates.
Companies should closely monitor these changes and adapt their strategies
accordingly. This may involve re-evaluating product offerings, adjusting
pricing strategies or assortment mix.
Stay agile and responsive:
In a volatile economic environment, agility
and responsiveness are key to survival. Companies that are flexible and
adaptive, ready to pivot their strategies in response to changing market
conditions are best positioned to succeed through a high interest rate
environment. It is almost always possible to predict the future trends and
shift but being first “off the blocks” to respond is the key to success.
Don’t lose focus on long-term growth:
While high-interest rates may present
immediate challenges, companies must not lose sight of their long-term growth
objectives. Investing in innovation, research and development, and
brand-building initiatives and preserving key growth drivers through cost
cutting and optimisation can ensure companies don’t compromise the long term
for the short term.
While navigating an environment with
high-interest rates does poses significant challenges, approaching this by
side-stepping cookie cutter industry playbooks, careful fiscal planning, long
term-oriented decision-making, and a welcome splash of new ideas and
innovation, these challenges can be overcome and companies have a pathway to
emerge out of this stronger, more flexible and with a healthier balance sheet
to tackle growth strategies and gain market share.
By Just Style