Apparel brands and retailers are being warned to
expect further hiccups across supply chains and increased costs as logistics
provider Maersk says it will be avoiding the Red Sea route for the foreseeable
future.
Maersk has updated its customers and warns the effects of the situation in the Red Sea are “widening and continuing to cause industry-wide disruptions”.
In its update, Maersk said it is rerouting
around the Cape of Good Hope “for the foreseeable future.”
It added “the risk zone has expanded, and
attacks are reaching further offshore. This has forced our vessels to lengthen
their journey further, resulting in additional time and costs to get your cargo
to its destination for the time being.”
Maersk explained the situation is creating
bottlenecks and vessel bunching, as well as delays and equipment and capacity
shortages.
“We estimate an industry-wide capacity loss
of 15-20% on the Far East to North Europe and Mediterranean market during Q2.”
Though the Red Sea disruption will impact
several industries, European apparel brands and retailers reliant on Asia for
supply are expected to be hit particularly badly.
According to S&P Global Market
Intelligence, shipments from Asia by sea that may need to use the Suez or
Panama Canals accounted for 51.0% of EU imports of apparel and footwear in the
12-months to 30 November 2023.
While a report from the British Chambers of
Commerce, which surveyed 1,087 businesses found some
firms saw a 300% hike in prices for container hire, and others experienced
logistical delays that added up to three to four weeks to delivery times.
At least half of UK manufacturers and
retailers are impacted by the disruption.
Speaking to Just Style, Bob Antoshak,
partner at textile management consulting and engineering company, Gherzi Textil
Organisation explained costs will rise, and delivery times will be lengthened.
The slower pace of deliveries will also affect product roll-outs and sourcing
times.
In a recent blog post, Chris Rogers of S&P Global
Market Intelligence said: “The seasonality of apparel supply chains means
delays will become a bigger factor during the July to September peak season for
sales running from back-to-school to Black Friday. Given shipping times that
are normally of around five to six weeks have likely increased to at least
eight weeks, that would suggest winter peak season shipments need to leave
Asian ports from mid-May 2024, requiring purchase and production decisions to
be made in April at the latest.”
“Options to tackle the higher costs, delays
and uncertainty include absorbing the costs against earnings, changing
transportation routes or modes, carrying more inventories, and altering
sourcing practices. Comments from other consumer goods industries suggest firms
may be willing to offset higher shipping expenses against reduced costs
elsewhere.”
For a while now – in fact since the great
pandemic of 2020 – there has been a lot of talk in the apparel sector about
diversifying supply chains, specifically out of China.
The most recent events around the Red Sea
crisis disrupting supply suggest that shift needs to be accelerated, according
to apparel and retail trade organisations.
Maersk has added capacity where possible,
leasing an additional 125,000 additional containers.
The surcharges on customer invoices reflect
this and the shipping firm explains these are to offset the costs of the longer
journeys, increased sailing speed, and additional fuel costs.
It is using 40% more fuel per journey and
charter rates are currently three times higher and are often fixed for five
years.
The American Apparel & Footwear
Association (AAFA)’s SVP of policy Nate Herman noted members have “long been
concerned” by growing risks to shipping in the Red Sea, particularly the
knock-on effects that extend globally.
“Such adverse impacts unacceptably put
sailors lives in danger, and come at a time when we are counting on smooth and
cost-effective logistics routes to support renewed demand for our products.”
Meanwhile National Retail Federation (NRF)
VP of supply chain and customs policy Jonathan Gold said its members are
working closely with their product suppliers and transportation partners to
address ongoing supply chain disruptions.
“Retailers continue to seek alternative
solutions to mitigate any impacts from the Red Sea disruptions.”
Among the ideas for switching sourcing
strategies that can help apparel brands and retailers mitigate supply
disruptions are boosting inventories and diversifying supplies but Rogers
warned these can add costs and leave them out of favour in a high-cost environment.
Dr Sheng Lu, professor of apparel studies at
the University of Delaware, agreed: “The escalation of the Red Sea crisis will
continue to raise shipping and insurance costs, delay shipments and squeeze
fashion companies and manufacturers’ margins. The crisis has also negatively
affected the global used clothing and recycling business, as substantial trade
volumes passed through the area.
“While strategies such as diversifying
sourcing base and using more air shipping may potentially mitigate the impact,
none of these alternatives is cheap and perfect. Ending the Red Sea crisis
remains the most critical and essential.”
But Antoshak shared it may be that retailers
and brands are left with little option but to diversify in the short term at
least: “In turn, the longer these disruptions remain and shipping is adversely
impacted, the more likely brands and retailers will have to locate alternative
sources of supply to augment their Asian shipments. Diversification of sourcing
will become more important, particularly if shipping remains uncertain and
costs continue to rise.”
By Just Style